Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for MAHA-19 in India from 30 Oct 2019 06:00 UTC to 01 Nov 2019 00:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for MAHA-19

in India

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Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone MAHA-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GDACS
Exposed countries	India
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	194 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.3 m (01 Jan 00:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	High (India)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
Current	157 km/h	0.3 m	n.a.	0.5
Overall	194 km/h	0.3 m	n.a.	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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Wind

157 km/h Current Max.

Up to no people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Population in Cat 1. or higher	Countries
1	30 Oct 2019 06:00	157	30 thousand	No people	India
2	30 Oct 2019 12:00	176	30 thousand	No people	India
3	30 Oct 2019 18:00	157	50 thousand	No people	India
4	31 Oct 2019 00:00	148	50 thousand	No people	India
5	31 Oct 2019 06:00	176	50 thousand	No people	India
6	31 Oct 2019 12:00	176	50 thousand	No people	India
7	31 Oct 2019 18:00	167	50 thousand	No people	India
8	01 Nov 2019 00:00	157	50 thousand	No people	India

Bulletin Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Category (SSHS)	Max winds (km/h)	Population in Cat.1 or higher	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Location (lat, lon)	Countries
1	30 Oct 2019 06:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	31000 people	8.8, 74.8	India
2	30 Oct 2019 12:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	33000 people	9.9, 74	India
3	30 Oct 2019 18:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	46000 people	10.6, 73.5	India
4	31 Oct 2019 00:00	Tropical storm	93	no people	47000 people	11.1, 73.1	India
5	31 Oct 2019 06:00	Tropical storm	111	no people	26000 people	11.9, 73.1	India
6	31 Oct 2019 12:00	Tropical storm	111	no people	no people	13, 72.7
7	31 Oct 2019 18:00	Tropical storm	102	no people	no people	14.3, 72.4
8	01 Nov 2019 00:00	Tropical storm	93	no people	no people	15.1, 71.8
8	01 Nov 2019 12:00	Tropical storm	102	no people	no people	16.3, 70.5
8	02 Nov 2019 00:00	Tropical storm	111	no people	no people	17.2, 69.4
8	02 Nov 2019 12:00	Category 1	120	no people	no people	17.9, 68.4
8	03 Nov 2019 00:00	Category 1	139	no people	no people	18.4, 67.5
8	04 Nov 2019 00:00	Category 1	148	no people	no people	18.8, 66.5
8	05 Nov 2019 00:00	Category 2	157	no people	no people	19.3, 65.6
8	06 Nov 2019 00:00	Category 1	139	no people	no people	19.9, 65

Actual track of the current bulletin

The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.

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Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

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Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

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StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.3m in Kattumavadi, India. This height is estimated for UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (56 locations). Calculation based on advisory number of 30 Oct 2019 06:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using minute resolution)

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
		Kattumavadi	India	0.3
		Ammapatam	India	0.3
		Kottaippattanam	India	0.3
		Manamelkudi	India	0.3
		Karwar	India	0.2
		Kumta	India	0.2
		Nileshwar	India	0.2
		Manki	India	0.2
		Ambalapulai	India	0.2
		Pamban	India	0.2
		Cannanore	India	0.2
		Gokarn	India	0.2
		Bainduru	India	0.2
		Advota	India	0.2
		Chaudi	India	0.2
		Marmagao	India	0.2
		Vasco Da Gama	India	0.2
		Honavar	India	0.2
		Tanur	India	0.2
		Tirurangadi	India	0.2
		Quilon	India	0.2
		Chaughat	India	0.2
		Vengurla	India	0.2
		Ankola	India	0.2
		Talakkolattur	India	0.2
		Mavalli	India	0.2
		Mulki	India	0.2
		Tellicherry	India	0.2
		Chittadi	India	0.2
		Talikkulam	India	0.2
		Majali	India	0.1
		Talaimannar	Sri Lanka	0.1
		Edakkad	India	0.1
		Pappinivatti	India	0.1
		Mahe	India	0.1
		Manattala	India	0.1
		Ponnani	India	0.1
		Veliyangod	India	0.1
		Erukkandurai	India	0.1
		Vijayapati	India	0.1
		Kadikkad	India	0.1
		Varkkallai	India	0.1
		Periathullay	India	0.1
		Chirakkal	India	0.1
		Haripad	India	0.1
		Kulasekharapatnam	India	0.1
		Kayankulam	India	0.1
		Malvan	India	0.1
		Bekal	India	0.1
		Kumbla	India	0.1
		Madayipara	India	0.1
		Madayi	India	0.1
		Kasaragod	India	0.1
		Tranquebar	India	0.1
		Tarangambadi	India	0.1
		Trikkaripur	India	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.